Chapter 1271 Prairie Fire
While Alexei and the four were wandering around the Rhine City, Ernst was paying attention to every move in Russia.
Mo Linhui, Director of the National Defense and Security Bureau, reported: "Today, the situation in Russia is accelerating and deteriorating, and the wave of opposition to the Tsar is growing, including capitalists, people, and even some nobles. More and more people Everyone has begun to question Nicholas II's ability."
"Before the war, Russia's domestic situation. The contradictions had already intensified to a certain extent, and with the outbreak of World War I, this contradiction not only did not shift, but intensified. At the end of last year, the Russian frontline military failure further stimulated the instability within the Russian regime."
Ernst asked: "What happens to the current surveillance of the Russian Labor Party?"
Morin said: "At the beginning of the year, they organized many strikes in Russian cities such as St. Petersburg, but they were suppressed by the Nicholas II government. However, through our analysis, their activities will become more and more frequent."
< br>"Now the Russians are a pile of dry firewood, and any spark can ignite it, and these Labor elements are arsonists People, their actions have greatly damaged the prestige of Nicholas II, especially the recent strike movement in St. Petersburg. "
Just imagine, the development of the European war today can be said to be relevant. Regarding Russia's future national destiny, according to common sense, Russia should unite at this time to get through this dangerous period.
But the funny thing is that the Russians think differently from Nicholas II. Of course, their attitudes must be somewhat different.
For example, the capitalists don’t think there is anything wrong with Nicholas II launching a war. The problem is that Nicholas II and the Russian aristocrats are too weak and have poor military capabilities, so their idea is to put a dog on it. This will lead to the frontline battle situation becoming what it is today.
Then who can carry the current banner of Russia! That is of course them. Only if they come to power and replace those idle nobles can Russia win on the battlefield.
As for the grassroots people, their thoughts are different from those of the capitalists and nobles. Their purpose in opposing Nicholas II is to stop the war. After all, they are the ones who actually go to the battlefield to serve as cannon fodder.
So far, Russia's casualties on the front line have reached more than 10 million, and nearly half a million square kilometers of land have been lost. Most of Ukraine and Poland, all of Moldova, and parts of the Baltic Sea region. Already captured by the Allies.
Molin said: "Now the Russian regime is in turmoil. Russia is facing a choice, but no matter what, Nicholas II is facing a dilemma."
"If If the war ceases, the territory will inevitably be lost. This is a responsibility that Nicholas II cannot bear, but by continuing to fight, Russia’s war-weariness has made the Russian people at the bottom no longer want to support the war.”
"At the same time, Russia's material situation is also very critical. At present, the Russian government's pockets are cleaner than its face."
Although East Africa has a large trade relationship with Russia, the current trade between East Africa and Russia has changed. It has become a situation of real money.
Unless Russia spends its last gold reserves, East Africa now only recognizes gold, or other valuable cash items, or even talents, technology, etc.
After all, according to Ernst's prediction, there is a high probability that the Russian government will not survive, so the Russian government naturally has no credibility in East Africa.
Not to mention East Africa, the debt that Russia owes to the French will take no one knows how many years to repay it, and this is still based on the basic conditions for the continued existence of the current Russian government in the future.
Ernst's judgment is naturally that the Russian government will most likely not survive unless the Russian capitalist government comes to power, but Ernst is also not optimistic about the Russian capitalist class.
This is mainly due to the fact that the Russian Labor Party has really formed a climate now. It not only has a strict organization, but also has excellent leadership capabilities.
This is not a matter for Russia alone, but for the whole of Europe. Now the Labor Party is not like the later generations who fought independently and focused on national interests, but an international organization throughout Europe.
Their members are not only capable, but also not afraid of death, and Russia is the new center of the Labor Party. Coupled with Russia's poor living environment, the Labor Party is simply at home in Russia. Of course, it is not impossible to kill the Labor Party, but the prerequisite is that other imperialist countries outside Russia and the Russian upper-class ruling class unite to eliminate this organization that has expanded and spread like wildfire in Russia.
However, this is precisely impossible to accomplish. Among other things, it is impossible for Britain, France and Germany and Austria to reconcile. If they do not stop the war, the "international community" will naturally not be able to reach a unified opinion.
Among them, Germany and Austria will be happy with the Labor Party's activities in Russia. After all, if the Labor Party wants to come to power, it cannot lose its main card of "armistice".
This is not to say that Germany and Austria do not hate the Labor Party, but they must ensure that Europe has formed a new order led by the two countries before directing other countries to destroy this terrible organization in Russia.
In short, European countries are definitely unable to reach a unified opinion at this stage. Although East Africa and the United States are powerful, they are far away from the European continent and cannot interfere with the development of events in Russia.
In this case, the possibility of the Soviet Russian regime being born like in the previous life is more than 95%, so Ernst cannot place his hope on the destruction of European countries, which may break out of its shell at any time. The new Russian regime.
Ernst asked: "What are the current trends in the Ottoman Empire? Are they still not moving? Now that Russia has completely declined, can they still sit still?"
Molin said: "Your Majesty, at present The Ottoman Empire is already making its final war mobilization. If our intelligence predictions are correct, the Ottoman Empire will inevitably attack Russia in less than three months. "
Ernst. Knocking on the table, he said: "This means that within three months, the Bosporus and Dardanelles may be cut off by the Ottoman Empire at any time, and our trade with Russia will basically be over!" ”
The Black Sea Straits, namely the Bosporus Strait and the Dardanelles Strait, have not been interrupted from the beginning of the war to the present. The main reason is that the Ottoman Empire has not yet participated in the war.
And East Africa is the main supplier behind the Allies, so East African ships have always been doing Russian business. Both Britain and the Ottoman Empire acquiesced in the trade between East Africa and Russia.
However, once the Ottoman Empire joined the "just" siege against Russia, it would be different.
So Ernst judged: "Our trade with Russia is about to end. In this case, we must try our best to take out more from the Russians' pockets in the next two or three months. "You must also be active and plunder the technology and talents of Russia and the occupied areas of Russia as much as possible."
Come to East Africa. The current chaos in Europe is a great opportunity for us to fish in troubled waters.”
Because of the sudden failure of the Russian war front last year, many industries in places with good economic conditions in Russia, such as Poland and Ukraine, have No personnel were withdrawn to the rear, and these materials and personnel fell into the hands of the Allies.
East Africa happens to have bargaining chips with the Allies, which means that East Africa can easily exchange some Russian industrial equipment and technical personnel into its own hands through transactions with the Allies.
Although it is not easy for the technicians and scientific researchers who were kidnapped to East Africa to return home, Ernst believes that after the new Russian regime is established, they will gradually regard East Africa as their new home.
However, Ernst still said: "Try to pay as much attention as possible to the Ukrainian region or the Russians in Poland. As for Poland, it depends on their wishes."
The Poles returned The mentality of the country is still very strong. After all, without a country, the Poles overseas will be even more united. Even if some Polish talents are really recruited, Ernst believes that if Poland is restored, they will be more willing to return to the country. develop.
(End of this chapter)