Chapter 402 A little different thinking


Chapter 402 A little different thinking

"Everyone, after watching Guangshen's full live broadcast today, I want to talk about something different from other bloggers.

Because after reading it, I have a lot of things to say in my mind. Amerikan returns to the moon and an unprecedented crisis breaks out at the International Space Station. China is responsible for the rescue. The rescue is not just a simple round trip, but also has to go to the lunar space station to orbit the moon. One lap, and then the Tiangong tourist project will be officially put on sale to the public and will officially start operations next year.

This series of things is so dense that any one thing is enough to make a video and talk about it.

Just the price that Guangshen has given to the Guangjia tourist project is 5 million. I can make a fifty-minute video about this for everyone.

Because this price is much lower than the lowest price I guessed, which I expected to be 50 million, and when I was thinking about the price before, I tried my best to simulate Guangshen's thoughts when making decisions.

Fifty million is very expensive for ordinary people, but for people who can consider and are willing to learn about space tourism, it is really not expensive at all.

This includes traveling to and from the space station, as well as food and accommodation on the space station. The souvenirs after the entire project are completed have full emotional value.

A hundred years from now, this thing will definitely be a precious cultural relic in the history of the development of the human universe.

The price of five million lets me know that there is still a difference between the big guys and the big guys.

Guangshen's thinking logic is already at a higher level. He is not only thinking about the company itself, not the industry, but also thinking about the future of mankind.

I will make a special video to explain it to you later.

Today I want to choose an entry point that no one has found to talk about.

I hope it can give everyone a different starting point for thinking. ”

A blogger on site b who specializes in geopolitical videos held a live broadcast that night. Because his content was relatively in-depth, he had correctly predicted several major events in the past.

It is different enough from geopolitical talk shows like Yan San, so the blogger does not have many fans on station b, more than hundreds of thousands, but they are all loyal fans.

As soon as he started the live broadcast, the live broadcast room was flooded with thousands of netizens who were too excited to sleep.

In the environment of station b, 10,000 people is already an incredible number.

It’s still a niche track like geopolitics.

"What I want to say is a trend, and this time can be regarded as a landmark event. This is a trend that has lasted for a long time.

That is, China will gradually penetrate into the areas that were originally unbreakable for Europe and the United States, and more and more cakes will be cut away from Europe and the United States.

Since England became the empire on which the sun never sets, Germany, Da Mao, and Neon have all tried in different ways to change the world system with England and America at its core.

Among them, Germany uses war, Da Mao uses system, and Neon uses economy.

Apparently all three failed.

A few more words here, that is, Neon’s Plaza Accord was the biggest cause of their economic collapse, but Neon still gained something in exchange, and it was not a pure loss.

Neon suffered huge economic losses, but made some money back through cultural export.

Let’s put it this way, the reason why Neon can far surpass Goryeo in terms of cultural output can be traced back to the Plaza Agreement signed between Neon and Amerikan in 1985.

I know this is counter-intuitive, but it is the truth. Don’t mention KPOP to me. Improve the cultural output of Korea and make Korean idols more famous around the world.

The cultural export of Goryeo is an ineffective cultural export, a cultural export that is superficial and lacks the core.

For a very simple example, China is able to export a large number of consumer goods brands to Southeast Asia and even the world, such as Haidilao, Mixue, Heytea, etc. Neon has 711, Uniqlo, Muji, etc. globally.

What does Korea have? Even during the peak period of Goryeo pop culture, they failed to export a consumer brand with sufficient popularity.

Neon was similar before the 1980s, but thanks to the Plaza Accord, neon culture began to be exported to the outside world.

The Plaza Accord destroyed Neon's economy, but culturally helped Neon culture expand globally.

This is because the Plaza Accord resulted in an appreciation of the yen and a depreciation of the U.S. dollar. Neon's economy was not finished immediately after the agreement was signed, but declined slowly over a long period of time.

During the period just after the Plaza Accord was signed, thanks to the appreciation of the yen, the internal demand for neon was unprecedentedly strong.

The strong demand has stimulated global companies to design products for the neon market and the preferences of neon people.

When commodities become the carrier of culture, the diffusion of culture can be long enough and have sufficient influence.

Goryeo has no core because of the lack of commodity carrying.

I personally think that the most classic case here should be in the automotive field. Everyone knows that Japanese cars used to be the dominant players in the world, and their position was even stronger than that of German cars.

When we look at new energy vehicles now, we feel that new cars are released every now and then. Many cool designs and many of the latest technologies make everyone excited. Foreign media and manufacturers are paying more and more attention to China's new cars.

This scene also played out repeatedly in Neon after the signing of the Plaza Accord.

Neon sports cars from this period became popular around the world and attracted a growing number of car collectors.

Thanks to the Plaza Accord, it was nominally intended to correct the trade deficit between Neon and Amerikan. The yen appreciated against the dollar and accelerated the growth of the bubble economy against the backdrop of low interest rates set by the neon central bank.

This has led to unprecedented strong domestic demand for neon.

Against this historical background, Neon car manufacturers relied on their ever-expanding funds to develop a large number of different styles of sports cars.

The entire 1990s was also a golden age for Japanese cars. At that time, the Neon car brand was considered to be equivalent to Porsche around the world, and the price was even cheaper.

Did you think of Huaguo Automobile?

Nissan released Silvia and Cima in 1988, and FairladyZ and Skyline GT-R in 1989. Even today, GTR is the dream car of many people.

Toyota, Nissan, Honda, etc., they were very different at that time than they are now. A model can go ten years without being revised.

Neon car companies back then were just like Chinese car companies today, launching models every year, and each model was a hit at the time.

Domestic products are exported overseas, and the preferences of consumers in that country need to be considered when designing and producing overseas products. It is against this background that culture has greatly expanded its influence.

Therefore, the Plaza Accord helped Neon achieve cultural expansion. If you are familiar with the history of neon car expansion in the 1980s and 1990s, you will find that the paths taken by Chinese car manufacturers today cannot be said to be exactly the same, but they are 70% similar.

Talking about us, we are now expanding in all the fields you can think of and unexpected, including culture, economy, military, technology, etc.

They had tried various methods to stop this kind of expansion in the past. Why didn't they succeed?

I said in a video before that 22 years ago, many people's inner thoughts were that we were a producer country and developed countries were consumer countries.

If the consuming countries find another country to re-establish a trading system and find other countries to replace our status as producing countries, wouldn't we be doomed?

It is precisely based on this kind of thinking logic that there is the infamous "surrender now is the best time" argument.

First of all, let’s not talk about this logic. It is completely vacuum spherical chicken. They need to pay the huge cost of rebuilding the supply chain, need to endure the inflation of moving the supply chain, and need to be able to unite all developed countries and firmly support this no matter which election comes to power. strategic goals.

Even if they really can do it.

Even if they can really do it, the combined population of these developed countries is only 1 billion, and there are 8 billion people in the world.

Their land area accounts for about 21% of the global land area, and they are a minority.

Of course, some people think that developed countries are the main source of consumption power. The consumption power of these 1 billion people far exceeds that of the other 7 billion people. They are the core driving force of consumption. More than 70% of global trade orders come from the consumer markets of developed countries.

Yes, but now the productivity has been developed to the point that China's productivity is enough to transform the world occupied by the remaining 7 billion people. Even if the production relations and production structure remain unchanged, we are enough to transform the world.

This is why Lao and China have never been worried. What Lao and China want is peace and they are slowly advancing this strategy.

So the current trend is that Laos and China are changing the world through their advantages in productivity, and attacks in other fields essentially rely on productivity.

The five countries of England, America, Kangaroo Country, Maple Leaf Country and New Zealand are far closer than outsiders think.

And in the past you could see that the pace of change has been faster and faster.

More and more countries in Asia, Africa and Latin America are finding that the Amerikan model cannot be used because the operating costs are too high and they cannot use it in terms of resources or population quality.

Relying on infrastructure to drive economic growth, economic growth will expand domestic demand, and after expanding domestic demand, we will buy goods from China. They export resources.

This operating model is getting faster and faster as model projects in countries such as Cambodia, Laos, and Peru are completed.

You can even see that European countries are starting to look to us for infrastructure construction.

Aren’t Amerikan and his most die-hard allies anxious? Do they really believe that time advantage is on their side?

We must know that the increase in productivity and the narrowing of the technological gap brought about by technological spillover on a global scale will only make the advantages of the developed countries with one billion people smaller and smaller.

This trend is a two-decade-long trend.

I have always admired Kardashev's method of dividing civilization equivalence through energy utilization.

He believes that we can divide cosmic civilization into three levels based on its energy acquisition and consumption capabilities:

The first level is capable of controlling and harnessing all energy from its planet and surrounding satellites. When we can use lunar resources, it means that we have officially entered this ranks.

The second level is the ability to harvest the energy of an entire star system. That is to say, it can fully utilize the energy of the sun.

The third level is the ability to harness the energy of the galactic system.

GDP, currency, total trade, these figures will fluctuate with financial fluctuations.

In my opinion, electricity consumption reflects this reality very well.

According to calculations by the United Nations Division for Sustainable Development-Department of Economic and Social Affairs, America's per capita electricity consumption dropped by about 7% between 2000 and 2017. Here, their electricity consumption for industrial production is excluded, and only individuals are counted. Use electricity.

Are Amerikans not fond of electrical appliances? Convert this figure to a third world country, and their per capita electricity consumption has doubled.

The statistical units of electricity are all the same, and there is no way to cheat through exchange rate games and financial instruments. This reflects the rapid changes in the production structure brought about by technological diffusion.

If anyone else chooses to move manufacturing back to the local area, even if they really build a 1 billion-level developed country trade circle, we can play it by ourselves. At most, we can bring a few younger brothers, such as Mexico, Colombia, and Argentina, in order to compensate for the 20 cents. , add another two cents.

Even if they really do it, they will only give up the rest of the market to Lao Zhong. This transaction will be a huge profit for Lao Zhong.

So they won't do it.

In the past, what Amerikan thought was to rely on technological leadership and artificial intelligence to achieve the arrival of technological singularity, and to regain the leadership in productivity through artificial intelligence.

In order to achieve this strategic goal and introduce HBM technology, they will not hesitate to loosen China's chip technology.

In the past, allies believed that Amerika could do it, and their contacts and cooperation with China were restrained.

With China flexing its muscles this time, do the allies really still believe that America can do it?

Are allies really that hardcore?

I'd put a big question mark on all of this.

For them, the worst future is that if China breaks through first, its productivity lead will never be reversed, and China will even consider actively not playing with them.

After using the resources of the moon, asteroids and artificial intelligence technology to expand productivity, I will use Southeast Asia as a springboard to create a new WTO.

At the beginning, Northeast Asia will be played first, and then it will slowly expand and slowly allow new member countries to join.

So after watching this live broadcast, I realized that Hua's all-round output will be faster and more efficient in resource utilization.

In the past, when we exported infrastructure capabilities and returned them in exchange for minerals, the potential risks we faced were still great.

It is possible to export infrastructure worth RMB 100 billion, but only recover RMB 50 billion.

In the future, it will be one trillion, and eight hundred billion can be recovered.

What was proposed in 2013 will expand at an unprecedented rate in 2027.

The production capacity issues and investment risks that we worried about in the past will no longer be a problem.

This time the real golden age is coming. In the past, the technological dividends brought by Guangshen only spread to a few industries. But this time, all old and middle-aged talents can benefit from the dividends from infrastructure and production capacity output. . ”

(End of chapter)

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