Chapter 980 Question
In fact, although Cameron agreed to an independence referendum in Scotland, although it was a risk, he did not make this decision lightly.
First of all, he also understands that Scotland has always used independence as a weight to demand rights and interests from the British government. At the same time, the Scottish National Party's victory in two consecutive elections also shows that Scotland also has a certain voice for independence. He hopes that this will be This kind of "public opinion" can be channeled to a certain extent and given them a chance to vote in a referendum. At least they can take some initiative in the referendum in their own hands - such as stipulating the wording and method of the referendum options.
Moreover, they also conducted some surveys in Scotland, and the data obtained showed that the people who oppose independence still account for the majority - these have also been confirmed in previous public opinion polls, except for some people who have not yet made a final decision on their intention. In addition, the number of people who oppose independence has always been much higher than the people who support independence.
After all, after hundreds of years, not all the people in Scotland are the original "Scots". Through personnel exchanges, there are still many people who identify with the "British Empire".
Judging from the results of the referendum in the original time and space, Cameron still won the bet this time...
But I don’t know if the success of this risk gave Cameron confidence. As a result, he took another risk later - and promised to hold a referendum on Brexit...
Everyone knows the result. In the original time and space, Cameron's second adventure failed completely. Originally, he wanted to use the Brexit referendum to gain the support of "Eurosceptics" to win the election. On the one hand, Britain can also use this Brexit referendum to play extreme operations and put pressure on the EU, thus gaining some benefits.
But the result was that the Brexit referendum passed...
The failure of this adventure had chain consequences. It not only alienated Britain from Europe, but also obliterated the successful result of the previous adventure, the Scottish independence referendum.
Because according to the agreement reached between the British government and Scotland, after the Scottish independence referendum in 2014, Scotland will not be able to hold another referendum without major changes in key factors.
Originally, Cameron hoped to take advantage of the "centrifugal force" on the Scottish side to resolve once and for all the issue of independence that the other side has been claiming all day long.
But after the Brexit referendum was passed, Scotland kept asking for another referendum - because major key factors have changed. The Scottish government wants to integrate into the EU and does not want to leave the EU...
Since the UK is about to leave the EU, it is not too much for Scotland to demand independence and then rejoin the EU as a country...
This makes the British government very passive and cannot allow the Scottish independence referendum to be held again, because they understand that under the premise of Brexit, if there is another independence referendum this time, it is very likely that Scotland will really become independent. ……
You must know that in the Scottish independence referendum in 2014, the British voted 55% to 45%, narrowly and narrowly keeping Scotland.
Once Scotland becomes independent, what about Northern Ireland?
Northern Ireland also hopes to stay in the EU. After all, if it is in the EU, because Ireland is also an EU country, it will be extremely convenient for Northern Ireland and Ireland to communicate with each other. After Brexit, the two sides will need to block the border...
In this case, the original United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland will become the United Kingdom of England and Wales...
After all, the island of Great Britain itself contains three parts: England, Scotland and Wales.
Wait, Wales doesn’t have independent ideas...
Well, the final result is probably that only England will be left with the British government... The national flag is ready-made, that is, the Union Jack flag with a blue background will become a red cross and a white flag.
What kind of plot is this? "If we unite for a long time, we will divide, and if we divide for a long time, we will unite." But the good news is that because Wales was initially included in England by default, the red dragon flag of Wales did not appear on the British flag. Well, then There is no need to change the flag one more time.
……
Speaking of the British government, what they are worried about recently is not just the Scottish independence referendum - after all, this matter will not be held until September, and the British government has been thinking about this since two or three years ago. Prepare.
The first thing that gave Cameron a headache was the country's financial problems.
Although compared with the original time and space, the current fiscal revenue situation of the British government has been greatly improved. After all, the investment of DS capital in British domestic companies and industries has enabled the British government to obtain tax revenue. There has been growth, and some funds controlled by the British government have invested in DS funds, and their returns have been considerable.
But in contrast, the British government's investment in some industries has also increased.
For example, in terms of investment in infrastructure such as the Internet and support for domestic technology projects, the British government's investment is greater than in the original time and space.
Inevitably, these investments will bring long-term returns to the UK, but at the moment, when the results have not yet appeared, the British government will also be under greater pressure.
In addition, with the turmoil in the Middle East, including the escalation of the Syrian civil war, a large number of refugees poured into Europe, including Britain.
As mentioned before, due to the aging of Europe, the proportion of young people is not high, and Europe needs fresh blood to join.
Read the error-free version at 69 Book Bar! 6=9+Book_Bar debuts this novel.
But the prerequisite is that quality immigrants join, but the influx of these refugees from the Middle East will cause hidden dangers to society when the government is under huge financial pressure and it is difficult to allocate enough funds to resettle these people.
What's more, the religious issues of these refugees, as well as the occupation of employment opportunities for local citizens, causing dissatisfaction...etc., will have a great negative impact.
Although the British government has been cooperating with Colo on the resettlement of illegal immigrants, the scale of this cooperation is still effective in normal times. When the scale of the influx of refugees suddenly increases, it becomes somewhat stretched.
It’s not that the British government doesn’t want to implement more radical policies to resist refugees. The problem is that Britain is still a member of the European Union, and their policies towards refugees are still influenced by the European Union in many ways.
If they go too far, they will be easily criticized by the EU when it adopts an open policy towards refugees. Other countries are not willing to do so either. We are all EU members. Why should we take in the refugees we share equally? Are they all driven away?
The EU cannot let Britain do this, otherwise their work will not be done and their team will not be able to lead...
However, the consequence of all the above problems is that British citizens are becoming more and more dissatisfied with the EU. According to public opinion polls, the voices of "Brexit" and "Euroscepticism" in the UK are getting louder, and voters are shifting to the right. It is increasingly obvious that under such circumstances, in order to cater to voters for next year's general election, Cameron is very likely to reshuffle the cabinet again in the second half of this year and add a right-wing color to the cabinet...
In Barron's previous life, "centre-right moderates" in the Conservative Party such as Foreign Secretary William Hague quit during that cabinet reshuffle...
(End of chapter)