Chapter 535 Yuting Chat
"So he is also preparing, but he is not ready yet?" Zhou Zhi asked.
"He said that he didn't have much in his hands, but that he had more goods." Jiang Wu said, "He asked me to come to Beijing to discuss it in detail."
"Oh? Then this is It's a good thing." Zhou Zhi is a reborn person, and he will not naively think that the bustling scene on the southern island can only be managed by the abilities of one or two people. Behind those influential figures, there are Like Jiang Wu, what is involved, almost without exception, is the interests of a group of people.
It is conceivable that those who can exit this drama in time and early will not have their own help behind them.
Now that such help has extended an olive branch, it is indeed not a bad thing for Jiang Wu.
"Is it a good thing? What should I tell them when I go?" Jiang Wu couldn't help but get angry: "When will you leave, my elbows?"
It's interesting to ask these two questions together, which shows that Jiang Wu still wanted to go, but he was worried that he would not be able to find a topic, or that he would be looked down upon by others if he could not give any opinions, so he wanted to encourage Zhou Zhi to be brave.
Actually, this is because Jiang Wu's vision is not broad enough. Nowadays, people who go to sea have a saying that is "how bold a person is, how productive the land is." Take the real estate in the south as an example. From the earliest of hundreds of thousands per acre, it has increased to 5 million per acre today, and there is no end in sight.
"Brother Wu, the truth is actually very simple. There is an old saying that 'the wealth is huge, but the hair does not count'. It means that some assets may seem rich, but in fact they contain too much risk."
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"I don't know how many assets you have purchased there, but now the profits have accumulated to astonishing heights, and correspondingly, the risks have also accumulated to very terrifying heights."
"Data analysis these They are all ready-made and can be easily handled by a research team. Zhou Zhi said: "As for risk and risk release, similar analysis results can be obtained through stock market research."
"If compared vertically, there is an accurate matching case - the United States 20. The Florida Real Estate Bubble of the 1990s ”
“And the leader of all this, starting from the release of the “Regulations on Controlling Land-related Financing,” announced the real estate market. It’s the leader, it’s a bloody hard landing.”
"From 1985 to 1988, the land price in the central area of the island country increased nearly three times. By 1989, the land price in the island country exceeded four times the land price in the United States. By last year, the land price in Tokyo reached the land price in the United States.' "Sell Tokyo and buy the United States" became a joke for them. "< br>
“But the situation took a turn for the worse after March last year, and it is far from over yet.”
“In the absence of major policy intervention and the free development of the market, regardless of the Analysts are talking so much about that big island in the south The fundamentals of supply and demand and investment objectives of the real estate market are there and cannot be deceived.”
“All current situations in history that deviate too far from the laws of development will eventually be constrained by the laws of development. corrections, sometimes even 'overcorrecting', resulting in The status quo eventually deviates in the opposite direction and gets back on track."
"This process of economic law is called the economic cycle. Everything has two sides, and the cyclical law of the market economy is. The 'bad' side of it."
"No matter which school of economics works, there are profound descriptions of this, but these things are not familiar to the main practitioners involved in the market economy." "But don't worry, Brother Wu, although the market economy has now It has been implemented for almost ten years, but it is still in a very primitive and simple stage.”
“Primitive means that professionals who are well versed in the laws of nature are still too scarce. Theoretical researchers and market practitioners are still out of touch, or To put it another way, there is no one who can achieve the 'unity of knowledge and action'."
"So Brother Wu, don't worry, even in the capital, those who are proficient in theory are in the academy and in the political research office. And those so-called trendsetters are better than you "I'm afraid it's not much."
Jiang Wu smiled: "I didn't dare to be confident before. After digesting what you said today, I asked my subordinates to do research based on this idea and give me a few reports. That’s it.”
"Then let's talk about simplicity." Zhou Zhi said with a smile: "The so-called simplicity means that people have not learned to use the economic knowledge they have mastered to intervene in the economy, artificially changing the inherent trajectory of economic operation and causing unexpected results."
< br>"Also In other words, the current operation of the domestic market economy has a pattern to follow. The real estate operation cycle in the south will most likely follow the path of the first real estate crisis in the United States and Japan. "
"But we. The country has its own particularities." Jiang Wuji. He continued to ask: "Interference of the will of the state."
"Yes." Zhou Zhi nodded: "It would be okay if the state intervened, but if the state intervenes now, it will be tantamount to the state serving the greed of some individuals. Pay the bill, and the South Island currently does not exist in itself Very outstanding investment value. ”
“In fact, by referring to the rise of capitalist countries, we can find that for a market economy to achieve great development, several elements are indispensable, including capital, resources, human resources, and market. ”
"Does South Island have these advantages? Compared with several special zones, what are its advantages?"
"South Island does not have capital, resources, let alone manpower, market, not to mention anything else , even if the product is produced and brought to the country where its products are needed The transportation cost is a huge expense.”
“As a tourism and agricultural product area, it has unique advantages. As a large light and heavy industry area that is urgently needed by the country, South Island does not have the conditions.”< br>
“It’s not Hu Just look for a coastal city to replace Hong Kong Island. Hong Kong Island relies on import and export trade, international logistics, and financial services. In addition to convenient ports and preferential policies, it also relies on abundant capital and a large number of people. professionals, and countless contacts around the world Companies and offices with close connections.”
“I am afraid that the capital, Shanghai, and several special economic zones combined cannot reach the level of Hong Kong Island. How can anyone dare to work in this field? Shouting slogans on the South Island issue? ”
"Therefore, the so-called geographical advantage is just a big pie and a gimmick, which cannot be refuted. Even if the country fully supports it, the foundation of South Island is there, and it cannot escape the constraints of economic laws no matter what."
< br>“I believe those in Beijing are far more aware of these issues than we are.”
(End of Chapter)