Chapter 784 George Darwin
“It’s very simple.” Zhou Zhi said: “In the final analysis, information technology serves people. So, may I ask, which country has the most people?”
“Hahahaha ..." Li Leshan smiled and said: "Of course it is China and India, but to make information technology used by people, a large number of talents are needed. The number of these talents is the decisive force that determines the development speed of information technology. We do not If you can use the number of people to replace the number of talents, you are trying to change the concept."
Zhou Zhi continued to shake his head: "I didn't change the concept. The previous computers were indeed professional equipment and needed to be replaced. Only those with professional knowledge can use it after long-term study. "But with the introduction of personal computers and personal operating systems, personal computers have now begun to enter thousands of households."
“As this trend further accelerates, it is foreseeable that personal computers will become smaller and smaller in size, have larger and larger storage capacity, and will have faster and faster computing speeds, and will be more and more closely related to communication technology. Compact, it will become more and more convenient to carry around. ”
“These are just hardware, and for software, its functions will become more and more comprehensive, and the interface will become more and more simple, and the use will be easier. It’s getting simpler.”
“Professor Li, do you agree with my inference?”
“Not so far. "Li Leshan is also very happy to discuss the application prospects of computer technology with his juniors: "And you said that this communication technology, I think it is more important to combine it with mobile communication technology to turn personal computers into real mobile devices."
Zhou Zhi versus Li Leshan is really impressed. His prediction is completely in line with the subsequent technological development trend. It seems that this should already be the consensus of industry leaders. The iterative process from the information age to the network age to the mobile communication era has actually been clearly constructed at this time. It's in their minds.
"Then can we boldly speculate that one day in the future, everyone will have an information device in their hand, and this information device can download and install the latest application software through the Internet?"
" It's possible." Li Leshan nodded.
"So if there is a bug in this software system, which country will it be discovered first?" Zhou Zhi smiled: "In other words, which country's software is the easiest to complete the test version of the trial version and the easiest to implement Software BUG exposure and correction, upgrade and Iteration?"
"Of course, the more users of the software, the easier it is to complete this."
"Yes." Zhou Zhi said: "I admit that technical talents are the most important accumulation. , only with them can we make products.”
"But it is the same in any industry. There is a process of moving from the cutting-edge to the masses." Zhou Zhi smiled: "In the initial stage, such as now, we are still a backward group, but I believe that this situation will soon change."< br>
“In Talent After accumulating to a certain extent, the high-tech industry will be destined to serve the majority of people.”
“At this time, when everyone’s technical background is not far apart, the advanced nature of information technology products will be determined. The key factor will no longer be technology It’s not about the level of technical means, but the scene design and user experience of the product.”
“At this stage, large-scale user testing and information feedback will be the decisive factor in determining the popularity of a software. Who has the largest customer base , who will have an innate absolute advantage!”
“Future competition in the information age will no longer be purely technical competition. Technical competition will eventually give way to competition in the acceleration of product iterations and customer groups. Competition of scale! ”
Li Leshan couldn't help but suddenly enlightened, and slapped his thigh: "Now I know Lao Bi's way!" After all, Li Leshan has an academic background, and his background is as a professor, which means he has a good understanding of the development of cutting-edge technologies, but he is not familiar with market applications and other aspects. Just a little unsure.
In fact, Microsoft's sudden rise with the help of the personal computer operating system is a concrete verification of this big idea just mentioned by Zhou Zhi, and the upcoming WINNT is also related to Zhou Zhi's work on the Internet The description of the era is consistent and it belongs to specific synchronization at the application level.
For a technology master like Li Leshan, if Zhou Zhi had not clearly pointed out to him today that the importance of each element of the information industry would eventually be adjusted to the point where users are greater than the market, the market is greater than the product, and the product is greater than the technology. Technology is greater than talent. It may take twenty years to realize this truth on your own.
After all, the current mainstream perception is completely opposite. In the perception of most people, it is still at the stage where talents are greater than technology, technology is greater than products, products lead the market, and the market cultivates users.
After Zhou Zhi put forward this theory, his waist became inexplicably harder. There is no doubt that China will become the largest market in the future and will have the largest number of users in terms of product design, application, bug testing, and iteration. , will have unique advantages.
In fact, this is indeed the case with the development of the times, but today, when it is still in its infancy, Zhou Zhi’s words sound like deception.
But Li Leshan is a rigorous and serious scholar after all. No matter how absurd the theory seems to him, as long as your analysis makes sense and conforms to the rigorous model operation logic, he will admit that the final derived result is reasonable. sex.
And Li Leshan is far more familiar with Microsoft's development history than outsiders. If this successful case is explained with a thoughtful theory, it is no longer accidental, but inevitable.
This is also in line with Li Leshan's understanding of Microsoft, but his previous feeling was "I know he will succeed, but I don't know why he will succeed."
And now my feeling is: "Sure enough, there is no success without reason in the world. There are deep-seated reasons behind the development of things."
Thinking of this, Li Leshan smiled and said: "I also provided some help when Microsoft was founded, and I am considered a small shareholder. We can use this theory to threaten Lao Bi, if he doesn't make recommendations. Man, let’s make this theory public and break his wealth code!”
This is of course a joke, but it seems that Li Leshan is already very confident in lobbying Microsoft.
However, Li Leshan's thoughtful response never expected: "As a small shareholder of Microsoft, can I make demands from Microsoft?"
"Huh?" Li Leshan was stunned for a moment: "It also depends on the shareholders. Microsoft's shareholding structure is quite complicated now..."
"Is the largest shareholder of tradable shares the kind who can make demands?" Zhou Zhi continued to struggle with this issue.
"The largest shareholder of tradable shares can affect the stock price trend, so naturally he can make some reasonable demands." Li Leshan used "you" here, but of course he did not think that this was Zhou Zhi's own power: " Who do you think this person is? You have successfully lobbied him?”
“Uh...this person is called George Darwin”
(End of this chapter)