Chapter 1385 Economic Conference at the end of the year
East Africa has a large number of colonies along the Persian Gulf coast, which is the basis for East Africa's colonization of the Middle East, and the Middle East and Central Asia are one of the main development directions for East Africa's current economic colonization.
Since the last century, East Africa's trade with the region has reached Afghanistan in the east, to the hinterland of Central Asia and Russia in the north, to the coast of the Red Sea in the west, and to the Arabian Sea in the south.
However, East Africa was not the main participant in international affairs in the Middle East and Central Asia at that time. In addition to those local countries and forces, the British and Russians were the most powerful in the Middle East and Central Asia.
Other powers are similar to East Africa. Because there is a lack of military presence in the Middle East and Central Asia, trade with countries in this region is like water without a source and tree without roots, and they will definitely not be able to compete with each other. Russia and Britain.
This is very important. Without military guarantees, Russia and Britain can compete unfairly against other industrial countries. After all, if the quality and price of industrial products are really discussed, the United Kingdom will not mention it for now. If the competition is really relaxed, then Russia's industrial products will be allowed to do so. It will definitely be defeated.
But it is precisely because Central Asia and the Middle East have a large sphere of influence that ensures that Russia's poor industry can monopolize the local market. Although other countries may also be able to trade within the sphere of influence of Russia, it is relatively It is simply insignificant for Russia to gain benefits.
Equally, East Africa can become a new major player in the Middle East because of its military presence in the Middle East, and its military presence and deployment in the Middle East happened to be completed during World War I.
The sphere of influence obtained by East Africa in the Middle East was to be snatched from Britain and Russia. For example, Qatar, the Gulf of Beibu, Guadal, etc. were the British spheres of influence in the past, while northern Persia was the Russian spheres of influence in the past. sphere of influence.
Although these newly added spheres of influence were stolen from the British and Russians, the concepts of the two were completely different.
The sphere of influence and colonies seized by East Africa from Britain were not taken seriously in the past, such as Qatar and the Beibu Gulf. In the last century, Britain included them in its own sphere of influence entirely to control the local pirates and protect itself. trade routes.
Secondly, East Africa has reached a relevant agreement with Britain on these colonial issues. Although it was completed by East Africa during World War I, Britain has no direct reason or excuse to repent in black and white.
The Persian region is completely different. East Africa entered Persia because of the disintegration of Tsarist Russia. The new Russian Labor Party regime has not yet come to take over the political legacy left by Tsarist Russia, so it is from the Russian Labor Party that the new Russian Labor Party has not yet come to take over the political legacy left by Tsarist Russia. From a perspective, East Africa is like an outsider who is trying to seize his property.
Then, the two countries also had irreconcilable political contradictions. After all, Russia still had a large number of fantasies of "world unity" at this time, and if they wanted to achieve this goal, they would inevitably export ideology to the outside world. .
Russia's ideological output is undoubtedly digging out the foundation and legal principles of the current rule of other imperialist countries, so it is also considered "it is your own fault."
A simple description, assuming that the East African regime represented by Ernst is a factory, and Russia's current political thought is to encourage workers in this factory in East Africa to overthrow the East African government, the factory owner, and thus gain ownership of this factory in East Africa. , this is naturally not tolerated by the East African government.
So, on the basis of standpoint, the East African government does not like Russia.
East African Defense Minister Pripyat said: "Now our sphere of influence in Persia determines that confrontation between us and Russia is inevitable, so while supporting Persia, we should also strictly prevent it. Be firmly guarding the output of Russian ideology. "
"Especially, we are about to garrison in Persia, we should be wary of the Persian Labor Party supported by the Russian Labor Party, and contact and infiltrate our garrison in the local area."
Pripiat's concerns are not aimless. Weapons at the ideological level are always hard to defend against. This is a reflection of this Russian attack on Ukraine.
The fundamental reason why Russia can gain such a huge advantage in Ukraine is not the strength of Russia's military power, but the huge role played in the ideological field, thus supporting a large number of supporters in Ukraine.
The historical experience and facts in previous lives have also proved that soldiers, even spies on the front line of confrontation with Russia, are likely to be fought over by Russia. In the past life, the United States, Britain, (Western) Germany, France and other countries are likely to be fought over by Russia. There are many people who choose to join the Russian Labor Party, such as the Cambridge Five in the UK. Even people of their origins can be influenced by the Labour Party’s political philosophy, let alone grassroots personnel.
In response to this, Ernst said: "Our soldiers in Persia, members of the intelligence department, logistics personnel, etc. should strengthen their psychological construction to avoid being bewitched by Russia."
"At the same time, the Persian government should cooperate with us to strengthen strict prevention and defense of Labor organizations in the country, and would rather kill a thousand people by mistake than let one go. At the same time, strengthen negative propaganda on Russia in the field of public opinion, especially against Russian bureaucrats, Disclosure of social issues, such as the Russian peasant group, is a good propaganda target. "
"We can shape the negative impression of the people of the Labor Party through artistic processing, which can greatly reduce the Russian Labor Party's ruling towards East Africa. penetration.”
The peasants in the Tsarist Russian era were definitely not as good as those in the Soviet era, but the living conditions of the peasants under the Russian Labor Party were obviously not very ideal.
Although the agricultural problems in the Soviet Union have always been criticized, the fact is that the quality of life of the vast majority of peasant groups has improved a lot compared with the Tsarist era.
In fact, Russia's agricultural field is inherently inadequate. If Russian agriculture reached the level of the United States and East Africa during the Tsarist era, then the Russian Labor Party would have had so many troubles later.
However, if Russian agriculture developed to the level of the United States and East Africa during the Tsarist Russian era, then Russia would not become a weak link in the imperialist chain, and the Russian Labor Party would be unlikely to come to power.
And the quality of life of the Soviet peasants in their previous lives was higher than that of the Tsarist Russian era, which was not worthy of praise. This is a vertical comparison. For example, today's quality of life of farmers in East Africa is higher than that of the last century, which is natural thing.
Unless East African society has been stagnant and no longer developed, this is obviously a very small probability. For most of the time, human society is a process of continuous development and progress. Even in feudal society, civilization development is progressing slowly. After all, new Technology and new things are always emerging.
Of course, there are times when human history is reversed, such as the Germans interrupting ancient Rome, the Mongols conquering Eurasia, etc., but it is certain that most of the time and eras are progressing.
With the development of time dimension, most countries should have made progress. Even in the Tsarist Russia era, Russia itself continued to develop. Therefore, as a latecomer, if the life of peasants was not as good as that of Tsarist Russia era, then this The country is basically over.
So, social development should not only focus on the vertical comparison of time, but also on the horizontal comparison. Why are there so many problems in Soviet agriculture? One of the important reasons is that the reference object has become agriculture in Europe and the United States.
Agriculture was a significant shortcoming of the Soviet Union, and this shortcoming continued until the collapse of the Soviet Union in his previous life, which would not prevent Ernst from making a big fuss about Russian agriculture under the rule of the Russian Labor Party.
Of course, for now, the effect of criticizing Russia with the issue of agricultural development should not be too good. After all, Russia is not the Soviet Union now. The Russian farmers under the Vladimir New Economic Policy are just against the Russian Labor Party. When singing praises. …
The energy of the East African government cannot always be on Russia, or other countries in the world. In 1921, the most difficult problem of the East African government was the economic transformation. Difficulties to come.
When 1921 has passed, and East Africa's 55th Five-Year Plan has been implemented for a while, but the East Africa economy has not only not recovered, but has continued to fall into a state of depression.
This has also made recent meetings related to the economic field of the East African government more frequent.
In this way, the East African economy continued until the end of the year, and Ernst made a relevant summary at the economic conference at the end of 1921.
"No country can maintain a high growth rate, and our East Africa is no exception. You should know that since the 1970s, East Africa's economy has maintained rapid growth."
< "This rapid growth has been maintained until the end of the World War, which means that the era of high growth and development of East Africa's economic development has lasted for nearly fifty years."
"Just fifty years In time, East Africa became a large primary industrial power in the world, which is extremely rare in history. "
"But it is precisely because of this that at the beginning of the 55th Five-Year Plan, we I will feel dissatisfied with the current national economic development progress, but if compared with other countries around the world, the economic situation in East Africa is actually quite good."
Overall, in 1921, the economic situation in East Africa was better than that of other imperialist countries, above the passing line.
However, compared with the economic development of East Africa in the past fifty years, the economic development in the two years from 1920 to 1921 can be said to be a low point.
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Most people are used to the rapid development of the past fifty years, so they are obviously not satisfied with the idle speed of the East African economy today.
However, Ernst is very clear that the current economic situation is actually the real level of development. From the last century to the first twenty years of this century, the East African economy can achieve a leap forward, first of all, colonial dividends , Second, stand at the forefront of the Second Industrial Revolution, Third, Ernst took advantage of the foresight to allow East Africa to seize various historical opportunities.
With the superposition of layers of advantages, it is difficult for East Africa to not develop rapidly. From the end of the 19th century to the beginning of the 20th century, as long as it is a not-so-outrageous country, its development will not be too poor. Even backward areas and colonies can make great progress. .
East Africa can not only accept the outflow of technology and industries in Europe, but also an independent and sovereign state, without any hidden dangers restricted by other countries, plus colonial dividends, even if there is no big move, at the beginning of this century, at least, It should also be able to develop to the level of Tsarist Russia.
"At present, the economy of the whole world is in a downturn, and since 1910, the East African economy has begun to be in line with the international community, so this impact is already under our expectations .”
"In addition to the current industrial upgrading and transformation, in the next five to ten years, we should calm down, boost confidence in economic development, further consolidate the foundation of the national economy, and continuously improve the domestic market ”
In 1921, East Africa’s steel production had fallen back to the level of 37 million tons. Although it is still the world’s number one, the gap of more than 3 million tons of production cuts is also possible It shows that the market demand for steel is now sluggish.
In fact, during the major production cuts in the steel industry in 1921, the East African government urged some steel production enterprises to rectify, which is also one of the important factors in the decline in East Africa's steel production today. Otherwise, East African steel production will increase by 100 to 2 million tons. It should not be a problem.
Because, after all, East Africa is just a primary industrial power, and in terms of industrial quality, it can only rank in the middle level among the powerful countries.
The demand for steel in the domestic market in East Africa is actually increasing year by year, and the large number of European orders brought about by the World War has caused steel growth to exceed the growth rate of steel demand in normal times in previous years.
A key factor to consider among these is that the total population of East Africa is as high as more than 160 million. In conjunction with the position of East Africa's primary industrial power, the steel production in East Africa reached 3,000 in 1921 Seven million tons level.
So, based on the per capita steel output, the data in East Africa is not too high. Although the United States' steel production in 1921 was only more than 30 million tons, the United States' population was nearly 60 million less than East Africa's population than East Africa .
In terms of population, the demand for steel market in East Africa is definitely much greater than that of the United States, but the steel production in East Africa is only a few million tons more than that of the United States, which to a certain extent shows that there is still room for improvement in the current East African economy. big.
Although other countries in the world have steel production that is not as good as East Africa and the United States, it is also higher than East Africa from a per capita perspective.
It should be pointed out here that Germany's steel industry has also made great progress compared to its previous life. After all, this time Germany was not a defeated country. In addition to the need for post-war reconstruction, this has led to the recovery and development of basic industries such as Germany's steel industry very much. quick.
It can even be said that German industry has not been affected too much by the war. After all, from the beginning to the end of the war, the battlefield has never been in Germany. Germany's factories and related production equipment are basically intact. .
The real industry is most severely damaged by war, France and Russia, especially France, which suffered extremely serious losses after the war. As for the current situation in France, if the economy wants to restore to the pre-World War level, it is probably necessary to Many years.
The losses of Russian industry were mainly due to the civil war, the destruction of domestic reactionary forces on means of production, and the lack of raw materials and markets in Eastern Europe, which would also have affected the development of Russian industry to a certain extent.
So, in terms of industrial development quality, Germany, Britain, and the United States are still ahead of East Africa, while France is completely trapped in the quagmire, while Russia has been at the middle and lower level since the Tsarist Russian era.
However, France's situation is not too bad. After all, since the French-Prussian War, France's local industrial development has lagged behind other powers.
The real big head of France is concentrated in investment in foreign industries, that is, the field of capital export. Although the Russian Labor Party regime came to power, France also suffered heavy damage to the financial industry, but France has a strong foundation and France is still in other countries. There was a lot of investment, such as before the war, France's investment in East Africa was in an upward stage. In addition, France also had a large number of assets and colonial support that could be performed.
(This chapter ends)