Chapter 1155 Construction of Saibei Granary
After receiving the order, the assistant quickly turned around and left the office as if running for his life, fearing that the leader's anger would affect Chi Yu.
However, before he could return to his office and start writing, Zhao Guangsheng had already received a call from Bi Liang, director of the Development Planning Department of the Ministry of Agriculture.
The other party did not say any nonsense and asked straight to the point:
"Old Zhao, the ministry is planning to let Sinograin release 800,000 tons of soybean reserves. What do you think?"
Obviously, the leaders have not been idle either.
But I am thinking about the same thing as him.
However, Zhao Guangsheng's expression did not relax at all.
After thinking for a moment, he replied:
“In the short term, it should be possible to slightly hedge futures prices, but in the medium and long term, it cannot affect the general trend of price increase...”
There was only a moment of silence on the other end of the phone...
Finally, Zhao Guangsheng, who still couldn't stand the oppressive atmosphere, continued:
"According to our calculations, if we only supply basic domestic consumption, , then combined with part of this year's production, it can be maintained until early summer next year... But if we take into account the panic among companies and the public, as well as the speculators who are rushing to buy goods in the financial market..."
Actually, He is definitely not a defeatist strategist.
But the current situation does not allow him to give an optimistic answer——
Although the national special grain reserve system was established 14 years ago in 1990, its original intention was not to carry out strategic reserves in response to food shortages. It was just because successive bumper grain harvests caused serious oversupply in some areas, and the state stepped in to solve the problem of grain sales. .
It was not until 2000 that the special grain reserve was officially transformed into a central grain reserve vertical management system, and the China Grain Reserve Corporation was established in the same year.
As for clarifying its task of macro-control of the grain market, it will have to wait until 2003.
It has only been a year since now, and there is no time to save much inventory.
Although it can relieve the temporary difficulties, it is still clearly unable to hedge against the four major...at least three major grain merchants with abundant financial resources, as well as the financial giants on Wall Street.
As a product of the modern financial industry, when the futures market developed into the 21st century, it had already broken away from the scope of physical delivery to some extent.
Sometimes it can even dominate the supply and demand relationship in the physical market.
In this case, if you want to suppress the price by simply releasing goods, you will never be able to do it with just a "sufficient" quantity.
Referring to the "Two White and One Black" war in Shanghai in the early days of the founding of the People's Republic of China, excessive material reserves had to be provided, so that those speculators either suffered a break in their capital chain or lost confidence and dared not continue. Only by stocking up on goods can things be peaceful.
The current reserves of China Grain Reserves are still too far away from this requirement.
After a few seconds...or maybe more than ten seconds, the other party spoke again:
"What if we can get the support of Louis Dreyfus...or at least a neutral status?"
This question surprised Zhao Guangsheng.
After all, I had never heard of any special relationship between Nongkou and Louis Dreyfus before.
But listening to Bi Liang's tone, he seemed very confident about it.
But the problem is that among the four major grain merchants, they have just won the only one that is useless at the moment...
"It doesn't make much sense..."
Zhao Guangsheng helplessly gave the same answer as before. Pessimistic answer:
“If it is a staple food...including corn, then Louis Dreyfus does have a certain influence, but the soybean market is almost completely controlled by North America, and the French cannot play a decisive role..."
For a while, the scene seemed to be at a deadlock...
The situation in the next few days was almost exactly consistent with Zhao Guangsheng's prediction.
The 800,000 tons of inventory released by Sinograin did alleviate the overheating situation in the domestic market to a certain extent, but it was quickly wiped out by downstream companies that had become red-eyed.
The second round of shipments that followed finally managed to suppress the plans of these companies to go overseas to buy goods at high prices. However, if the anxiety at the entire market level cannot be alleviated, then there is no choice but to make a fuss. Stop boiling.
Therefore, some positive signals must be released.
If we leave it to the past, there is actually no good solution other than continuing to release reserves.
After all, neither the financial market nor the public opinion position is in one's hands.
I can only speak with genuine products.
But now, there is really a positive signal that is at hand...
...
So, one day in early September, Chang Haonan suddenly received a call, letting him know He and Zhuang Bingchang went to the Academy of Sciences for a meeting three days later.
Although Professor Zhuang had just returned to Mongolia Province not long ago, after all, the matter was serious and his superiors directly named him, so he still had to make a trip.
Compared to a month ago, the number of attendees at this meeting was smaller, with less than twenty names on the full list, and the format was closer to a traditional symposium.
But the specifications are even worse. Moreover, it is also closer to a staffing that can directly make decisions.
“There’s something going on!”
As soon as Chang Haonan walked into this room, he immediately raised his psychological threshold.
Zhuang Bingchang, who followed him through the door, also performed much more skillfully after experiencing the last big scene.
I greeted everyone present in turn, then sat down in my seat, opened the document in front of me marked "Internal Information", and read about a hundred or ten pages.
After another ten minutes, the remaining empty seats were gradually filled.
As the elder sitting at the head opened the microphone, the meeting officially began.
"I think all comrades have already understood the developments in the international market in the past half month."
The big leader presided over the meeting, but did not need so much foreshadowing, but went straight to the topic:
"Sinograin has planned to release the third batch of 800,000 tons of soybean reserves. It is estimated that the market sentiment can be stabilized until the end of October. However, continuing like this is not an option. The inventory in our hands is limited and must be supplemented by other means to boost the entire market. The industry has confidence in the raw material market. "
"At the beginning of last month, Comrade Chang Haonan proposed that sand modification technology could be used to transform three desertified sandlands in eastern Mongolia into conditions for farming. farmland, so we plan to launch a new high-standard farmland construction project during the critical stage of this year’s autumn harvest..."
"..."
Compared with 2007, when the second soybean war occurred in the previous life, the current time has a huge advantage.
That is, the thousands of related domestic enterprises are still in their own hands and have not been purchased by international grain merchants.
They may hoard raw materials beyond normal reserves out of panic, but as downstream members of the industrial chain, they have no motivation or strength to actively hoard goods and drive up prices.
The difficulty of calming the situation is also much lower.
After the big leader’s outlining speech, it was the turn of the relevant departments to express their stance.
The first is of course Li Zhongyi from the Industrial and Construction Committee:
“During this period, we have conducted a situation survey on the two main raw materials mentioned by Academician Chang last time. Among them, polyacrylamide is a fairly common water-soluble material. For polymer products, the expected domestic production capacity is 250,000 tons per year, and there is an import volume of about 30,000 to 50,000 tons, which can basically fully meet the needs of the pilot project. "
"But there is another one..."
Speaking of this, he paused for a moment and glanced in the direction of Chang Haonan:
"Carboxymethyl cellulose sodium has only been relatively relevant in the food industry and oil exploration industry before. For large-scale applications, the total output in the world is only about 300,000-400,000 tons per year, and the domestic production capacity is only about 100,000 tons. However, we have contacted state-owned enterprises in related industries and do our best to ensure priority supply for strategic projects. …”
"..."
Followed by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission:
"We plan to stop the restructuring plan of Huaxia Aquatic Products Group Corporation and Huaxia Animal Husbandry Industrial and Commercial Group Corporation planned to be carried out next month, and instruct The latter fully cooperates with Huaxia Agricultural Reclamation Group Corporation to ensure adequate supply of relevant forest and grass products, fertilizers and pesticides, and communicates with local pastoral areas in a timely manner to avoid land use disputes..."
Ministry of Agriculture The leaders of the company also expressed their position:
“Among the three areas proposed by Academician Chang last time, winter is about to begin in the Hulunbuir Sand Land, and the temperature is approaching subzero, making it difficult to further carry out sand land transformation work. However, Horqin Sandy Land and Hunshandake Sandy Land still have a roughly three-month time window. According to the data reported by the Mongolian Provincial Farm Reclamation, they can allocate more than 118 state-owned farms and ranches from 118 state-owned farms and ranches without affecting the progress of the autumn harvest. 23,000 employees and no less than 1,000 vehicles and equipment..."
"In addition, if the demand still cannot be met, further support can be obtained from the agricultural reclamation agencies in the three northeastern provinces..."
"..."
Although it is not a military project, industry and agriculture The system still showed Chang Haonan the efficiency of mobilizing the power of a whole country.
These resources will definitely be a drop in the bucket to support the 40 million acres plan in the first phase of the project, but if they are pooled together, there is still a chance to complete the million-acre transformation task.
The only problem is time.
In agriculture, progress cannot be caught up by just working overtime.
Of course Chang Haonan understands that the superior’s intention is not to use the output of his million acres of land to rescue the market, but to use this plan to provide confidence to the domestic market.
International capital is not a deus ex machina villain NPC. They also need to borrow money from banks to open positions and speculate in stocks, and they also have to bear the corresponding cash flow pressure.
Similarly, the four major grain merchants also need to rent land and granaries to store soybeans, and they also have to bear the losses of long-term storage.
So, as long as we can withstand this wave of attacks, when the expected severe natural disaster does not occur at the turn of next spring and summer, the opponent will be unable to hold on.
But knowing it all, Chang Haonan still suppressed the excitement and emotion in his heart and gave everyone a vaccination in advance:
“The use of soil fixing agent to transform the sand is only the first stage of the entire plan. Later, it will be necessary to carry out secondary reinforcement through the root system of herbaceous plants, and then use modified soybeans to restore soil fertility. The whole cycle will take about 2-3 years. Regarding this bean shortage, I am afraid that water from far away cannot quench the thirst for nearness. "
"In addition, the soybean varieties we use for modification focus on drought and salt-alkali tolerance, and are not outstanding in terms of yield..."
Sure enough, the leader in front waved his hand, Indicating that he didn’t need to say more:
“Don’t worry, we won’t make demands that are divorced from the actual situation.”
"As long as by next summer, the planned farmland can turn green and grow soybean crops that everyone can see and touch, this 'Saibei Granary' plan will be considered a first success!"
(End of this chapter)