Chapter 81: Only bet on sure-win games
“Why not touch it?”
“The point is that the rise and fall of stocks depends not only on the operating conditions of the company, but also on the performance of the company. It just depends on the quality of the industry."
Little Fatty was stunned, "Why?"
"I don't know the specifics yet," Li Yan sighed, "Zhi. Far, if something can be traded, there must be a group that can adjust, influence or even control the market. ”
"Huh?"
"What is the purpose of buying and selling stocks? Those who sell stocks do it for operating costs, and those who buy stocks do it for dividends. If the relationship is only at this level, it really only depends on the company's operating conditions and the industry. Bad, good or bad, you still have to judge.”
“You mean you can buy it like this?” Xiaopang listened intently.
“Although there is still an information gap, only a small number of people know the future development trend of an industry, which requires a lot of judgment and may even require some policy-related internal information.”
“ Poor information? ”
Li Yan was stuck. I said I kill people without blinking an eye, but you asked me if I can dry my eyes?
“Well, I understand what you don’t understand.”
“Oh! I understand, but now I’m confused.”
“Then Are you going to lose if you start a debate with me?”
“Of course!”
"So if I go stock trading, I will definitely lose."
"Huh?" Although Lin Zhiyuan shouted subconsciously, he actually understood a little, "Because you know too little?"
"Yes. The key is that the rise and fall of stocks are also affected by traders."
"Traders..."
"The public is irrational. Traders with propaganda caliber only need to release If there are rumors that are not good for a certain stock, there will be a group of people who think the stock will fall. Once they sell, everyone will sell like crazy, and the stock will plummet.”
"Ah..."
"Then the fact is that a policy that is beneficial to the industry in which this stock belongs is introduced. The stock starts to rise. When people see something happening, they start to buy it. The more they buy, the more the stock rises."
“This is good.”
“Who did you sell to when it went down? Who spread the rumors? Who did you buy from when it went up?”
< br>"Holy shit...can this be like this?"
"I don't know, but it is definitely feasible. The main thing is... this is just the most basic operation. I don't understand it and I haven't speculated on it. This is what I deduced logically. The actual operation may be more exaggerated and richer. ”
Li Yan’s memory of “finance” gradually loosened before his rebirth, and his emotional memory of hating “finance” was very prominent.
It’s not just him, it’s a social emotion.
Finance is actually about allocating resources rationally to serve entities and other industries. This kind of emotion is actually inappropriate.
“But! Someone can make money!” Lin Zhiyuan was a little unconvinced.
Li Yan smiled helplessly, "There are still people who won the lottery, but what about the others? What's the proportion?"
"Uh..."
"Zhiyuan, in such a big market, of course it's impossible. They are all manipulated, but with such a layer of fog, how do you know which stocks are bound to rise and which stocks are bound to fall? "
"But even if some stocks keep rising, everyone will do the same. I know.”
“You will also say that everyone knows it, so how much can you earn by buying it? Moreover, without knowing the rise and fall trend of the stock, how can you judge when to buy and when to sell? ”
Lin Zhiyuan was silent for a moment.
“It’s actually very simple to make a fortune from stocks. Buy low and sell high. This is how business is done. But you don’t have any basis. Even if you have it, the basis may be false or wrong. , how to play?”
Li Yan didn’t know whether to persuade Lin Zhiyuan or to persuade himself, the faster he spoke, “If you happen to be in sync with some traders, you can make money, but this is not the same as gambling. What's the difference?"
"The richest man in the world this year is the stock god Buffett!"
"You also know that he is called the stock god. Alas, I know that stock trading can make money, but the information gap is too serious. I don’t like this until I can’t control everything.”
Damn it, you are waiting for me here! The little fat man bared his teeth, "I also want to say that it is rare for you to show your timidity in one thing and stop pretending to be cool. Then you said 'control everything' and pretended to be big in an understatement, Mr. Yan!"
“It’s not about showing off or not.” Li Yan shook his head, “If we study the stock market with all our strength now, learn some inside information about the development of various industries through connections, and don’t put all our eggs in one basket, Take it as soon as you see it, small profits but quick turnover, the probability of making money is still high."
"So, it is not impossible to speculate in stocks."
"I never said that stock trading is not possible. Not good, but with this price-performance ratio, I might as well study something else. If you want to make a lot of money from stocks, it's obviously an opaque gamble." Li Yan's eyes became firm, "It's not that I can't gamble now, but I don't gamble. ”
"Oh?"
"Fat man, I only bet on games that are sure to win. Even if the winning rate is not 100%, at most it has to be a draw without losing."
"Okay. Okay, I just like seeing you like this." The fat man applauded in the street, attracting the attention of several adults.
"Uh... take a walk and read a book."
While talking, the two of them also came to the downstairs of the bookstore, "Rongxi Book City". Looking at the name, you can tell that the scale is not small. .
Xiaopang was still immersed in the brainstorming of "making money" just now, but now he has lost his mind. He took pictures of the bookstore, and then started to delete pictures while looking at the urgent memory.
“This bookstore is bigger than our library in Lincheng, damn me.”
Li Yan followed him into the bookstore with a smile, but she was thinking about making money. , Little Fatty is undoubtedly a major source of his start-up capital, and he doesn't want Little Fatty to take risks.
Not only do you not take risks, but you also want to make big profits.
The reason why the memory of house prices is completely blocked, is it a sharp rise or a plunge? As his understanding of the economy deepens in the future, the channels for social cognition increase, and even the connections expand...
< br>
It is absolutely enough to simply judge the general trend of housing prices.
So if the memory is retained, will we still have to rely on this kind of investment behavior to make ourselves rich after rebirth?
Li Yan laughed at himself, he was already a genius, but instead of thinking about how to be the second Bill Gates, he was thinking about speculation. This vision was too narrow.
When it comes to making money, taking a handful from the hands of capital bosses is definitely not as good as letting the public pay the bill.
An old-fashioned concept, if each of the 1.3 billion people in China gives me one dollar, I will have 1.3 billion.
Isn’t this the same thing with stocks? After investing, the big guys found that they couldn't make money, so they rushed to go public. No matter how large the scale was, it could be completely digested with enough base units.
On the other hand, if a small profit is multiplied by a large enough base, it becomes a giant.
Penguin is laying the foundation now. Look at those games. With the support of qq users, it is up and running.
Li Yan mused that his greatest advantage was time. Taking advantage of the current blue ocean of the Internet, he could seize the basic users. As long as he had enough users, he could make as much money as he wanted just by making everyone laugh...
< br>“What book should we read?”
Lin Zhiyuan's words brought Li Yan back to reality from his excited fantasy.
Yes, I am just a junior high school student with no red tickets in my hand. I think too much and my mind is unstable. If the basic values are not improved, I will not be able to grasp the trend when it comes.
The system is waiting for help, so you should first make yourself a truly unique genius, and then talk about changing the world.
"It must be about economics!"
Xiao Pang expressed that he was also very interested, and he pulled Li Yan into the economic classification bookshelf full of fighting spirit.
There are all adults here, which makes Xiaopang a little proud.
After only ten minutes of watching, he was leaning on Li Yan's shoulder dejectedly.
“So tired, so tired, so boring, let’s go see something else.”
Li Yan held a copy of "Principles of Economics" dumbfounded, and put the little fat Brought to the literary classics section.
Xiao Pang still felt boring, but at least he was able to pick out a novel and read it.
After an unknown amount of time, the two of them suddenly smelled a scent.
It is a warm aroma that makes people feel at ease and satisfied.
The two of them looked at each other at the same time. The source of the fragrance was a girl with long hair...
With the bread in her hand.
(End of this chapter)