Chapter 562 Four-Year Plan (Fourth update, please subscribe)
A sudden heavy rain. There are many black and blue umbrellas on the streets. Passers-by, whether they are civil servants, clerks, businessmen, bankers, brokers, customers, shopkeepers, lawyers or doctors, all hold umbrellas on the streets. While walking, they are all busy, rushing, and rushing for their personal future.
Looking at the rain outside the window, Zuo Xiaohan couldn't help but sigh.
"The spring rain is continuous..."
As soon as he finished speaking, he laughed at himself again.
"What are the four seasons?"
After gathering his mood, Zuo Xiaohan asked,
"Has the "Industrial Planning Report" of the Construction Planning Committee been sent?"
Although the Ministry of International Trade and Industry is responsible for trade and industrial policy planning, the Presidential Palace also has a Construction Planning Committee. Although it is an advisory body to the President, it was once the largest government agency in Borneo, with nearly a thousand people. employees, most of whom are experts in various fields. Most of them have participated in the formulation of Germany's four-year plan.
In the past five years, Nanyang's construction has been implemented in accordance with the "Four-Year Construction Plan" formulated by the committee. The early completion of the "Four-Year Plan" at the end of last year also marked the completion of Nanyang's basic industrialization , initially established a set of industrial systems.
It is for this reason that the committee is formulating the "Second Fourth Plan" to further promote the industrial and economic development of Nanyang.
“It hasn’t been sent over yet, but I heard from my colleagues on the Construction and Planning Committee that Director Paul has made an appointment with you. It is estimated that the draft plan needs to be submitted to you first, and only after your approval will it be sent to us. Here."
Pan Guoliang adjusted the frame and said.
"Chief, I think that since we are responsible for trade and industrial policy planning, can we ask you to participate in the formulation of the draft? After several years of training, we are fully capable of participating in and even leading the formulation of the plan. . ”
Pan Guoliang, who is the director of the General Secretary’s Office, said what most officials of the Ministry of International Trade and Industry say. After all, most of the time, they are responsible for trade, and as for industrial policy planning, they are often responsible. It was drawn up by the Construction Planning Committee.
"Director Pan, you have a profound meaning in doing this. The Construction Planning Committee is responsible for formulating the draft, and we are responsible for the implementation. At the same time, we are responsible for identifying and filling in the gaps in a targeted manner. This is a relationship of mutual cooperation, and during the draft formulation, we were consulted many times. "
Zuo Xiaohan, who was born in the official residence secretary office, is well aware of the role of the two organizations. In fact, there is another reason-most of the construction planning committee are Germans, many of whom are German officials, so In your opinion, their role is more of advisory and supervision. The Ministry of International Trade and Industry is responsible for implementation.
It is inevitable that there will be power entanglements in the officialdom, especially when there is overlapping of powers. It is simply not normal to have this kind of "infighting".
However, as the head of the department, Zuo Xiaohan knew very well that while explaining, he would inevitably have to beat down one or two.
“However, in the future, the role of the Construction Planning Committee will gradually fade away, but not now. Now, we are still students and cannot throw away this crutch. Secretary Pan, you must remember to be greedy and seek quickly. Being quick is a taboo in doing things! "Governing a big country is like cooking small dishes." Although Nanyang is not big, the truth is the same! "
Pan Guoliang's heart trembled when he was hit, and he bowed quickly.
“What the commander-in-chief instructs me is that if I understand it, I will know what to do in the future!”
“Okay,”
Waving his hand, Zuo Xiaohan said to He said,
“Go down, um, prepare the car, I’ll go to the official residence.”
......
Why is it so thin!
The moment he saw the "Four-Year Plan (Draft)", Zuo Xiaohan had such questions in his heart, and even looked at Paul Conor with some confusion.
Although they did not directly participate in the formulation of the "Four-Year Plan", the committee also solicited their opinions. If the plan is fully implemented, the draft will never be so thin.
This thickness is similar to the thickness of the first four-year plan a few years ago. According to the first draft they discussed before, the investment scale of this four-year plan is double that of the first four-year plan, which means that the thickness of the draft will definitely be much thicker than the past plan.
However, it looks very thin now. "You don't have to look at me like that. This is what your Excellency means."
Paul Conor quickly distanced himself from himself and threw the responsibility to Li Yian. Li Yian, who was smoking a cigar, smiled. road.
"Yes, that's what I meant."
Looking at Zuo Xiaohan, Li Yian said.
"After the implementation of the first "Four-Year Plan", except for the three eastern districts, the island has established a sound industrial base. The next development will be more about the expansion operations of the enterprises themselves. Officials or corporate leaders Bao Dala's key investments are not necessarily conducive to economic development."
After taking a puff of his cigar, Zuo Xiaohan seemed a little confused and continued.
“The economic control we are currently implementing is very similar to the planned economy of Russia. It is not just us. As early as after the great crisis of 29 years, Keynesian theory prevailed, and various countries They all started to take the lead in government intervention in the economy. Among them, Russia played an exemplary role. At that time, the economic crisis severely damaged the economies of various countries, but Russia, which adopted the planned economic model, made a triumphant progress and became the leader. Naturally, Western countries followed suit. The idea. Germany's "Four-Year Plan" is almost a replica of the "Five-Year Plan" "
"In fact, if you trace its origins, Russia's planned economy was actually the wartime economy implemented by Germany during World War I. , and the formulation of Russia's "First Five-Year Plan" itself involved many German experts."
Paul Konar interjected from the side.
"That's true."
Li Yian said with a slight nod.
“World War II reduced the entire Europe to ruins. Naturally, post-war reconstruction cannot rely on market forces. Therefore, the government control faction once had the upper hand. At present, Britain, France, Germany, including Japan, implement government industrial control through Direct investment has accelerated reconstruction, and the effect is remarkable. The economies of European countries are currently developing rapidly, but there is a question mark as to whether this policy can be sustained.”
Why is there a question mark?
Because this is the case in another world. Although the economy recovered rapidly under the control of countries such as Europe and Japan after World War II, its economy has been weak since the mid-to-late 1950s. From the late 1960s to the 1970s, serious stagflation occurred in Western countries. State intervention methods became increasingly ineffective, and free market theory returned.
In the following two decades, Western countries began a large-scale privatization process to stimulate economic development in the opposite way.
Zuo Xiaohan asked doubtfully.
"This... Your Excellency, you don't understand me?"
Looking at the confused Zuo Xiaohan, Li Yian turned his attention to Paul.
"Paul, please explain. You have participated in and chaired two "Four-Year Plans". Let's hear it."
"Okay, Your Excellency."
Paul nodded, looked at Zuo Xiaohan and explained.
“In fact, it is the path dependence of development. This is that once a specific solution or decision path is selected and implemented, even when better choices appear later, individuals or organizations may still suffer from various problems. Due to this cost and complexity, we continue to follow the original path, thus forming a state of inertia or dependence.”
When he mentioned path dependence, Paul specifically glanced at the Lord who was smoking a cigar and added this. It was Li Yian who introduced natural science terms into economic and social laws.
"Just like when we formulated the "First Four Plan", we planned how many factories, how much steel production was required, how many cars, how many ships, how many machinery, coal, power generation, etc., all aspects of planning, It is a very detailed plan, and it has achieved corresponding success. So the question is, when formulating the "Second Fourth Plan", are we repeating the "First Fourth Plan", planning factory construction, formulating steel, machinery, Development plans for various industrial indicators such as coal and oil.”
In fact, this is the secret of the typical "Russian model"-continuous investment in the construction of heavy industry factories. Every year, steel, machinery, automobiles, cement, petroleum and other industrial products are constantly increasing to promote economic development.
But market demand has an end. What should we do when it reaches the critical point where supply exceeds demand?
In another world, Russia did not solve this problem until the collapse of the empire.
This problem is not only a problem for Russia, but also a problem that Nanyang needs to face.
(End of this chapter)