Chapter 333 Response
Jiahe is no stranger to snow disasters, because in the northwest, we encounter this kind of situation every year.
Last year and the year before last, Qinghe, as far away as Altay, encountered heavy snowfalls.
The year before last, because the herdsmen were still semi-nomadic, with no fixed place and insufficient forage reserves, the livestock suffered heavy losses.
Last year was much better. The fodder produced by Qinghe’s 2 million acres of Gobi helped herders survive the crisis.
This year we are even better prepared.
However, Guo Yang still asked the group office to issue snow disaster prevention documents.
Emergency training must also be conducted for all employees so that they know how to rescue themselves and each other in the face of snow disasters.
If found to have failed to do as required, this year’s employee planned dividends will be deducted.
But even so, Guo Yang was worried that many people were taking chances, so he sent another message to Ning Xiaojing.
"Inform the leaders of each company to hold a video conference the day after tomorrow, with all employees participating."
"Received." Ning Xiaojing replied instantly.
Within the group, various disaster prevention measures can still be enforced by his will.
But outside the group, we can only do our best.
After thinking about it, Guo Yang called Lu Yilin of the Municipal Agriculture and Forestry Bureau.
"Bureau Lu, the weather has been a bit abnormal recently, with too much snowfall. Can the city's meteorological bureau do some agricultural meteorological monitoring and analysis?"
Lu Yilin said: "Hasn't the city already issued a disaster prevention advisory? Has the disaster reduction notice been issued? "
Guo Yang read the documents issued by the city. They were all clichés and short-term forecasts, which were of little use.
Guo Yang pondered: "Is there a more accurate and long-term forecast?"
Lu Yilin couldn't help complaining: "The local weather forecast, how many times out of 10 is it accurate? ?”
"..."
Lu Yilin continued: "Not to mention doing agro-meteorological analysis based on the local crop growth environment and conditions, simple weather forecasts are sometimes ineffective."
" ..."
Can you not be so straightforward.
Guo Yang calmed down for a while and said: "Hasn't Fengyun-2 D star been officially used for half a year?"
Currently, my country has three meteorological satellites in orbit: Fengyun-1D and Fengyun-2C and D.
It is the third country in the world to achieve "on-orbit backup, double star observation".
A cloud image can be obtained every 15 minutes and distributed in real time to more than 2,400 weather stations across the country.
Jiuquan can also receive satellite cloud images.
Lu Yilin said: "There are magic weapons, but the people who use them are not good at it. The city's meteorological department all makes forecasts based on experience. Hey, the level is hard to describe."
"Mr. Guo, don't count on the city's resources."
Guo Yang originally tried his luck, but he didn't expect the result to be so bad.
But at least there is something to gain. I learned about the management structure of the meteorological system. The province did not expect it and went directly to the national level.
China Meteorological Administration - Emergency Disaster Reduction and Public Service Department - Agricultural Meteorology Division.
“Who should I talk to?”
After pondering for a while, Guo Yang called Lu Qi from the Institute of Desertification and Desertification. The scientific expedition team had used resources from the National Meteorological Administration.
After many twists and turns, Guo Yang finally contacted Ren Shuzhong, director of the Agricultural Meteorology Department.
"Director Ren, hello, I am Guo Yang from Jiahe Group."
Ren Shuzhong's tone was full of official flavor. "Hello, Mr. Guo, Director Lu has told me that climate disasters have indeed occurred frequently this year, which has brought huge trouble to agricultural production."
"Experts in the bureau believe that this is related to El Niño and La Niña The bureau will also remain highly alert to the recent climate anomalies you reported.”
Guo Yang said: "Okay, I'll trouble you later."
After ending the call, Guo Yang frowned deeper. This was obviously an official answer and not taken seriously enough!
As for agricultural meteorology, he had taken courses in this area before, but that little knowledge was simply not enough.
Not to mention explaining the cause of the snow disaster.
I checked some information on the Internet and searched my guts a lot. I still have no idea, but I found a lot of other information.
Climate disasters have been severe around the world in the past two years.
Last year there was a widespread snow disaster in North America, and the recent hurricane in New Orleans was also not predicted by the American Meteorological Department and caused heavy losses.
The domestic summer is characterized by droughts and heavy rains, with El Niño and La Niña phenomena alternately controlling the western Pacific region.
“El Niño…La Nina…” Guo Yang kept talking about these two climate phenomena.
La Niña refers to the phenomenon of continued abnormally cold sea surface temperatures in the eastern and central equatorial Pacific. El Niño is just the opposite.
When El Niño occurs, warm winters are likely to occur in northern my country; when La Niña occurs, cold winters are more likely.
Since it is a snowstorm, it must be a cold winter.
Looking back further, one of the impacts of La Niña is the cold winter in East Asia.
Suddenly, Guo Yang had an idea. From the La Niña phenomenon, the snow disaster must be closely related to La Niña.
Domestic and foreign satellite cloud images and other meteorological data are basically shared by all countries. It is not difficult to find this information.
After busy for most of the day, Guo Yang finally made an important discovery.
Since the third quarter of this year, the La Niña phenomenon has appeared with a high frequency. It is predicted that this phenomenon will continue until the second and third quarters of next year.
This phenomenon causes abnormal economic circulation in East Asia, which is very conducive to the movement of cold air from the north to the south.
Seeing this, Guo Yang was very sure that the La Niña phenomenon was one of the causes, but the Meteorological Bureau also had this information.
There must be other causes for the snow disaster, but they have not yet been discovered by satellite remote sensing.
Guo Yang murmured: "I have reminded you of what should be reminded. The rest can only be adapted to the situation."
The main reason for doing this kind of thing is to have a clear conscience. Guo Yang has never thought of completely changing.
Two days later, at Jiahe’s video conference, Guo Yang made targeted arrangements for each company and once again emphasized the seriousness of the matter.
Growing and breeding bases, vegetables, finished grains, vegetable oil, beef and mutton, milk, agricultural supplies, snow plows and other tools...
For each item, special plans are prepared.
After the meeting, Guo Yang asked Gaode to stay alone again, "We can be more active in the peripheral grain futures again."
Gaode asked in surprise: "Is it short selling this time?"< br>
Over the past year, the boss has proven his forward-looking vision and layout, thinking that there will be some unexpected event this time, and that the bullish market will turn against Tiangang again.
Guo Yang smiled and said: "Go long, but you don't have to build a position so fast. You can wait until the retracement before entering."
Such repeated entry and exit does waste some capital costs, but It is acceptable to Guo Yang. Fund safety comes first.
"Boss, is there any news change this time?"
"Well, the climate is a bit abnormal. The South American coast has been dry for the past two months, and the northern hemisphere may be affected by a cold wave after the beginning of spring, which will affect sowing. "
Guo Yang paused and said, "Let's start trading according to this idea. The pace can be slower."
" Good." Gaode was quite excited. It was actually about futures. The income is too huge. In comparison, the profit from grain trade is a bit insufficient.
…
Guangxi, dragon fruit orchard.
This is a plantation built just this spring, with a planting area of about 3,000 acres.
Under normal circumstances, dragon fruit can bear fruit in the second year after planting, and the same is true for this orchard of Jiahe Fresh Supermarket.
The orchard is built on a gentle slope with a slope of 5 to 10 degrees. In the early growth period, green manure crops such as soybeans, purple-leaf peony seeds, and arrow tongue peas are interplanted between the pitaya rows.
Ji Huibing, the production manager of the park, is instructing workers in the orchard to cover the harvested green manure straw on the tree trays and border surfaces, and then lightly cultivate the soil.
A phone call came in.
It is Huang En, the general manager of the orchard.
"Lao Ji, after covering this area with green manure, stop immediately. The head office has a new technical notice."
Under normal circumstances, the head office will not interfere with technical management. , but this time a technical notice was issued, which confused Ji Huibing.
“Okay, why do you have to stop?”
Huang En said: "The big boss personally signed that this winter we must comprehensively strengthen cold and frost protection control."
"Isn't covering straw to prevent frostbite?"
"Not enough." Huang En said: " Come back quickly, the headquarters has even given out technical advice this time, you will know it at a glance."
After a while, Ji Huibing returned to the office and saw the antifreeze advice from the headquarters.
Cover with decomposed organic fertilizer, 2000~3000kg per mu, to enhance the plant's ability to retain heat and resist cold;
Irrigate before freezing;
Cover the soil with green manure, straw or straw;
Use colored strips of cloth, blankets, agricultural film sheds, etc. to keep the dragon fruit seedlings warm...
Ji Huibing raised his eyebrows and said, "Isn't this too much of a fanfare? It feels like putting warm clothes on the fruit trees."
"Just do it, I'll tell you the quantity of supplies and funding plan, Lao Ji. "Take the lead," Huang En said, "I still have to promote it to nearby growers!"
"Do you still need to guide other growers?"
"Well, the headquarters predicts that there will be a large-scale freeze damage this year, and all subsidiaries must publicize early warnings. The jatropha nursery has already started to move, which is okay. They didn’t transplant this year, otherwise they would be in trouble.”
Guangxi is located in a subtropical region and generally does not suffer particularly severe frost damage. The areas and areas affected by frost have been decreasing in recent years.
But once the cold wave invades in winter, tropical and subtropical fruit trees often suffer huge losses.
Ji Huibing thought of the severe frost in 1999. That time, bananas, citrus, lychees, longans, mangoes, dragon fruits, etc. all suffered heavy losses.
A large number of fruit trees were frozen to death.
After so many years, some people have always forgotten these harms, but having been immersed in the fruit tree industry for many years, Ji Huibing knows that not only the fruit industry is a cycle, but climate disasters are also cycles.
He did not dare to delay any longer and got to work quickly.
…
Sichuan Province, Meishan Danling.
"Mr. Zhou, there are very few winter frosts in the entire basin. Is the cost of the anti-freeze measures issued by the headquarters too high?"
Zhou Shu, the general manager of the citrus orchard, didn't know that the cost would be high.
All saplings are pruned in late autumn, the trunks are covered with soil, the tree trays are covered, the trunks are painted white, and the branches are bundled to build sheds. These anti-freeze methods are very troublesome.
Especially for bunching branches and setting up triangular sheds. For young trees, three bamboo poles need to be inserted around the orange tree, covered with straw around the outside, and opened to the south.
The follow-up process includes watering before freezing; preparing weeds, straw, straw, and sawdust in advance. If the temperature really cools down, smoke must be smoked immediately.
I thought this winter would be easy, but now the workload is really scary.
The time and labor costs required will also increase to a higher level.
Zhou Shu said: "Follow the requirements of the headquarters." "The surrounding growers will not listen to us."
"Then ignore them, Shu. It’s freezing, so we just need to change the variety.” Zhou Shu said, “Next spring, the citrus seedlings in the nursery will be ready to go out.”
…
Shandong Province, Denong Agricultural Materials Headquarters.
The past year has been the peak period for the expansion of Denong's agricultural inputs.
In addition to the four provinces of Shanhe, the base camp, markets in Sichuan, Hunan, Hubei, Guizhou, Jiangxi, Jiangsu, Guangxi, Shaanxi, Hui and other provinces are also being developed.
I am very busy acquiring and constructing distribution centers, self-building and franchising agricultural supply chain stores, and I hope to have more stores in time for next spring plowing.
But this time, all leaders were gathered together for a meeting to prevent snow disasters.
This made some people feel that it was making a fuss out of a molehill, and they all muttered in the conference room.
"Old Wang, you are coming from Guizhou. This trip won't delay anything. You can just find someone to come over for a meeting. Is it still snowing in Guizhou?"
"Why not? 05 We were hit by a snowstorm last year, so when Boss Yuan asked me to come over, I immediately put down my work.”
“How many stores have you opened?”
"Well, there are only a dozen, so the distribution center is enough for the time being."
At this time, General Manager Yuan Wenwu walked into the conference room, "Have you read the documents issued by the group on preventing heavy snow and freezing damage? "
Ke Sheng, the person in charge of Hubei Province, said: "Mr. Yuan, we have read the documents, and everyone is mentally prepared."
Yuan Wenwu muttered: "The group is afraid of everyone. I didn’t pay enough attention to it, and asked me to issue detailed rules and implement them one by one.”
“I would like to emphasize again that all warehouses in distribution centers and warehouses in agricultural supplies stores must be repaired and reinforced and prepared in advance. Good snow clearing tools, the group will conduct random inspections.”
"In addition, all warehouses and sheds must be fully stocked with agricultural supplies in advance."
Many people are somewhat disapproving of the snow in the south. It may be difficult for heavy snow to affect the agricultural supplies industry in the south.
But it is not difficult to repair and reinforce sheds and warehouses. What is difficult is to reserve agricultural supplies.
Ke Sheng said: "The current price of fertilizers is too high, and the market has a strong wait-and-see sentiment. At this time, the risk of reserve is very high."
Others also said.
"There is still a shortage, and manufacturers are unwilling to purchase more raw materials for processing and production, and the inventory is very small."
"The ex-factory price of 40% sulfur-based compound fertilizer in Gan Province is 2,450 yuan/ton, 5% compound fertilizer is 2,800 yuan, and urea is 1,800 yuan/ton. If you reserve too much, you might lose it later!”
“High-concentration compound fertilizers in Henan Province are priced at 3,000 yuan/ton.”
“I haven’t opened a few yet. "
Yuan Wenwu patted the table and said: "There is no room for bargaining when it comes to stocking up on agricultural supplies. What we need now is execution."
"Starting from the end of this month, you will lead the team to contact fertilizer resource manufacturers inside and outside the province to implement the fertilizer procurement plan."
"As for the distribution of pesticides and seeds, Tianhe, Quanwang, and Alfalfa will be on January 1 this year. The supply will be in place before January 15th."
"The agricultural supplies store has not been built yet. Those who can complete the stocking before January can continue, and the rest will be suspended."
The meeting room started discussing again. .
Seeds and pesticides are easy to understand. With Tianhe and Quanwang supporting them, there is no need to use Denong’s funds.
But for chemical fertilizers, generally speaking, the total amount of chemical fertilizers used in spring plowing in a prefecture-level city is 20,000 to 30,000 tons.
According to one-tenth of the market share of Denong's agricultural inputs reserves, that is also 3,000 tons.
In fact, even the newly built county-level distribution center has a reserve capacity of more than this, at least 5,000 tons.
If one province is calculated as 500,000 tons, if it is calculated as 10 provinces, it is also 5 million tons of chemical fertilizers.
Ke Sheng asked: "Mr. Yuan, with such a large quantity, given the current market conditions, we can't buy enough!"
Yuan Wenwu said: "Buy as much as you can."
"Are there enough funds?"
5 million tons, full payment requires at least more than 10 billion yuan, even if there is an account period , which would also require at least three to four billion in cash.
“Don’t worry about money. The plan is for 5 million tons. In fact, it would be good to have 2 million tons.”
Denong Agricultural Products has been expanding its stores since the beginning of the year. Most of the southern markets are newly developed businesses this year, with a shallow foundation.
There are not enough chain stores, not enough store staff, and some have not even opened yet.
However, after research and judgment, the group believes that there is indeed a risk of heavy snowfall this year. If it can develop as expected, the business in the south can be considered to have initially opened up.
…
Jiuquan.
Ning Xiaojing handed a piece of information to Guo Yang, "Boss, this is the winter vegetable storage plan formulated by Luo Jian."
"Well, let's put it here first."
Ning Xiaojing asked with doubts: "Is the movement a little louder this time? There are a lot more complaints from various subsidiaries."
"It's okay, don't worry about it." Guo Yang didn't even raise his head. There were plans for Fengkai, Jiahe Grain and Oil, and Huinong on the table for review.
After nearly two weeks of hard work, the feedback from various companies is still very fast.
Especially the front-line planting bases responded quickly. After the task was issued, they took action immediately.
Now that we have just entered December, the seed production base and soybean base have completed winter irrigation and deep plowing of stubble, and orchards in various places are also busy.
Even Niuhulin convened several large teams to clean up the ancient river channels buried by wind and sand in the lower reaches of the Shule River.
Don’t worry about the finesse now, as long as the upstream and downstream rivers can be connected.
With heavy snowfall of this level, the melting water from ice and snow after the beginning of spring is absolutely indispensable, which is an extremely beneficial factor for the restoration of the West Lake Wetland.
The rest is the material reserves in various places.
Judging from the scope of the La Niña phenomenon, Hunan, Hubei and other provinces located in the Yangtze River Basin are the most severe. Secondly, Guo Yang can also remember Guizhou.
In his previous life, the sight of motorcycles returning home during the Spring Festival left a deep impression on him.
These provinces have prepared all the materials they can, and Fengkai’s drone can also be of great use this time.
Guo Yang looked at the information for a while and looked up. Ning Xiaojing was still there. "What else?"
Ning Xiaojing asked: "Boss, what are your plans for Hainan's trip tomorrow?" Continue to cancel?”
"Oh, yes, I almost forgot again. Don't cancel this time, let the crew prepare."
I went to Hainan to see the cultivation of new varieties, but it has been postponed several times due to disaster prevention.
Guo Yang asked: "Are the gallbladder trees in the north and the jatropha nurseries in the south prepared for prevention?"
"It's been done, and both trees are still It’s not difficult to prevent frost before we leave the nursery. But will the progress of our bioenergy forest be too slow? Should we also purchase a batch of seedlings?”
This year, the concept of bioenergy is also very popular in China. , the forestry departments in various parts of the north are planting a large number of energy trees in projects to prevent wind and desertification.
In the south too, the government and enterprises are promoting the planting of jatropha.
In just one year, nearly 10 million acres of energy forests have been added across the country.
In comparison, the Jiahe Bioenergy Forest, where we cultivate our own seedlings, seems to be far away.
“Don’t be in a hurry.” Guo Yang shook his head and said: “One step is fast does not mean that every step is fast. If the oil price drops sharply in two years, those who are building gardens now will suffer.”< br>
“What Jiahe needs to do is to lay a solid foundation, increase the output of raw fruit fruits, and reduce costs even lower, so that it can have a competitive advantage.”
Ning Xiaojing has always been in charge of the bioenergy tree section, and Guo Yang usually doesn't interfere much.
To produce results, corn bioenergy must come faster.
Immediately afterwards, Guo Yang looked at the winter vegetable storage plan of Tianhe Vegetable Trading Company written by Luo Jian.
Like Jiahe Cereals and Oils, the main purpose is to make money, and only profitable business can make people do better. This is understandable.
In addition, Huinong.com is mainly responsible for early warning publicity, and connecting production and sales when sales are slow.
At the same time, Huinong.com is also responsible for connecting with the National Meteorological Center, paying attention to weather trends at any time, and responding to abnormal conditions in various places in a timely manner.
Recent articles, posts, and technical explanation videos in the agricultural technology section have also become tips on how to resist cold and frost for various crops, so that people who are interested can prepare early.
In short, Guo Yang made some preparations for everything he could think of, hoping that these two consecutive disasters would pass soon.
December 10th.
Beijing, Agricultural Meteorological Department.
Meteorological technician Kong Qing knocked on the door of the director's office.
"Please come in."
After Kong Qing entered the door, he handed a compiled document to Ren Shuzhong, "Director, the climate has indeed changed frequently during this period. The Yangtze River Basin and Jiangnan area The cold air came too early."
Ren Shuzhong raised his eyebrows, looked at the weather data, and said, "It's just a little colder than in previous years, and winter started earlier."
Kong Qing said: "But La Niña happens too often."
"In this way, a cold wave yellow warning is issued." Ren Shuzhong said: "Remind citizens everywhere to pay attention to cold protection and warmth."
At this time, the disaster warning colors are blue, yellow, orange, and red according to the severity.
That is, yellow means heavier.
It is basically appropriate at the current level, but Kong Qing still has a bad feeling. Just looking at the official attitude of the director, it is impossible to go beyond the rules.
It’s so hard to do something.
Two days later, a snowstorm hit vast areas of the Midwest and Northeast of the United States.
The city of Moncton on the Atlantic coast of Canada also received 165 centimeters of snow, almost four times the amount recorded for the same period in previous years.
Huinong.com contacted Kong Qing again, but because there were no other abnormalities except the La Niña phenomenon in the country, it still did not attract special attention.
This is not beyond Guo Yang's expectation. After all, there may still be a month before heavy snowfall.
No matter how good the warning is, it cannot be so early.
As long as there is always this kind of vigilance, once there is a new inducement, someone should be able to detect it!
Time passed day by day. During this time, Guo Yang stayed in the south.
In addition to the initial visit to the Southern Breeding Base to check the latest batch of seed breeding status, the rest of the time was spent inspecting the cold wave prevention situation in various places.
Most of the bases and companies have completed the work as required, but some people have also been punished to scare the monkeys.
Let the whole group be in turmoil.
After New Year's Day, Jiahe's first batch of employee housing will be distributed soon, and Guo Yang is also preparing to return to Jiuquan.
On the way, I also took a trip to Sichuan Province and Gannan Province, and randomly inspected the schools donated by Jiahe. They were very solid.
Finally, with inexplicable emotions, Guo Yang returned to the northwest.
On January 5, blizzard weather continued to wreak havoc in North America, with floods bursting embankments, strong winds, power outages, and blizzard road closures.
And Jiahe is filled with joy because the houses are about to be divided.
(End of this chapter)